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Public results and prototype record for GroundWise, a weather downscaling and agro-advisory prototype

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GroundWise

GroundWise is a weather downscaling and agro-meteorological advisory prototype by Team ZenTechs. It explores how a regional forecast can be inspected as a local 5 km field, with Panchayat context, uncertainty-aware readings, and practical farm-planning prompts.

Live prototype

Open the deployed experience at groundwise.vercel.app.

Overview Local grid inspection
GroundWise overview Local 25 km parent and 5 km child-cell comparison
Panchayat-context map Field-planning evidence
GroundWise weather map GroundWise advisory panel

Public project record

This repository deliberately contains no application code, model weights, credentials, API implementation, or private-repository material. It is the public record for the prototype: its intended use, result summaries, research basis, limitations, and next milestones.

The challenge

GroundWise is aligned to SIH problem statement 26074: Downscaling of weather forecast from Block level to Panchayat level for agro-meteorological advisory services (Ministry of Earth Sciences / India Meteorological Department; Agriculture, FoodTech & Rural Development).

The prototype presents the decision trail from regional input to local detail:

  1. Choose a place, a Panchayat-context point, or a 5 km grid cell.
  2. Inspect the parent 25 km block alongside its native 5 km child cells.
  3. Read the local estimate, available range, source context, and map position together.
  4. Select crop, growth stage, and reported field-moisture context for dated planning guidance.

What the prototype demonstrates

Area Demonstrated behaviour
Local forecast inspection Side-by-side 25 km parent-block and 5 km native-cell views, with geographic context and exact cell reading on hover/select.
India map interaction India-only basemap, restrained zoom, location search, local weather patches anchored to the selected model cell, and responsive mobile layouts.
Administrative context Real Pune pilot Panchayat/block identity plus a viewport-loaded LGD-derived 2024 national context layer that distinguishes coded Panchayats, explicit urban records, missing mapping, and provider failure.
Uncertainty Selected-cell ranges attach only when coordinate, date, forecast lead, and source run match. A range is never copied from a neighbouring cell.
Field planning Dated crop, maturity, weather, and reported-moisture-aware prompts for spraying, irrigation, harvesting, heavy rain, heat, and humid conditions.
Transparency Research, validation metrics, rule evidence, loading states, and a downloadable plain-text field bulletin are exposed in the product.

Results at a glance

The current GroundWise-R regression report evaluates a 122-day 2025 perfect-prognosis benchmark using ERA5 coarse input and CHIRPS / ERA5-Land targets. These are offline benchmark results; they are not a claim of live operational Panchayat accuracy.

Variable GroundWise-R MAE Bilinear MAE Relative change
Rainfall 2.636 mm/day 3.864 mm/day 31.8% lower MAE
Maximum temperature 0.568 °C 1.235 °C 54.0% lower MAE
Minimum temperature 0.598 °C 1.317 °C 54.6% lower MAE
Relative humidity 1.784 percentage points 3.249 percentage points 45.1% lower MAE
Wind speed 0.176 m/s 0.242 m/s 27.2% lower MAE

Rainfall performance varies substantially by event intensity. At the ≥2.5 mm/day event threshold, CSI is 0.505 for GroundWise-R versus 0.434 for bilinear interpolation. At ≥64.5 mm/day, CSI is 0.0587 versus 0.0968. Heavy-rain skill needs further work and should not be overstated.

Read the full public material:

What is not claimed

GroundWise does not yet publish an area-weighted forecast for every Panchayat polygon. The visible weather value is a selected 5 km model cell with Panchayat context where source geometry is available. The prototype still needs IMD administrative-block input, verified Panchayat polygon aggregation, local observation validation, reviewed agronomic rules, and operational-language delivery before it can be presented as a Panchayat-level public service.

Daily forecasts do not establish an hourly spray window, measured soil moisture, crop disease, field gusts, or guaranteed outcomes. Product labels, local observations, and agronomist guidance remain necessary for any farm operation.

Team

Made by Team ZenTechs.

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Public results and prototype record for GroundWise, a weather downscaling and agro-advisory prototype

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